Recent Price Performance and Trading Volume Trends

Chart Source: https://www.gate.com/trade/XRP_USDT

Since mid-July 2025, XRP’s price against the US dollar has continued its steady uptrend. On July 21, XRP reached an intraday high of $3.52, gaining over 4% before retracing to close near $3.47. Over the past week, XRP’s price has climbed 12%, marking the highest price since March this year. At the same time, average daily trading volume surged from around $2 billion at the start of July to nearly $3.5 billion, highlighting strong market participation.

Analysis of Key Technical Indicators

1. Moving Averages: This week, XRP’s 20-day and 50-day moving averages formed a bullish crossover (“golden cross”). The price has remained well above both averages, which confirms a short-term bullish trend.
2. Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is currently around 68, close to the overbought threshold but still below 70, indicating there is still room for further upside.
3. Bollinger Bandwidth: The upper Bollinger Band continues to rise while the lower band narrows, which has widened the bandwidth. This signals heightened volatility and increases the likelihood that the bullish trend will persist.
4. MACD: The MACD fast and slow lines continue to trend upward above the zero line, reinforcing strong bullish momentum.

On-chain Data and Capital Flows

• Active Addresses: Since mid-July, daily active addresses for XRP have increased from an average of 80,000 to 120,000, indicating a clear influx of new users to the network.
• Whale Holdings: The number of whale addresses (holding at least 10 million XRP) rose by 15 in the past two weeks, accumulating a total of around 500 million XRP.
• Exchange Outflows: Major exchanges have seen net XRP outflows totaling 230 million coins. This reduced selling pressure may help support current price levels.

Institutional Positioning and Market Sentiment

Institutional investment products from firms such as BitGo and CoinShares have reported increased holdings, with institutional buying activity dominating the period from July 15 to July 18. According to industry reports, as leading asset managers reevaluate digital assets, XRP—recognized as a benchmark for cross-border payments—is increasingly favored for portfolio allocation. The market’s Fear & Greed Index has rebounded to the “neutral to greedy” range, reflecting a recovery in investor sentiment. However, herd-driven buying remains a risk for latecomers.

Potential Risks and Trading Strategies

1. Pullback Risk: If the price faces resistance near $3.70 or undergoes a technical correction, monitor support at $3.30 and $3.10.
2. Macroeconomic Factors: Unexpected global economic events, such as inflation readings significantly above forecasts, could trigger risk-off sentiment and put pressure on XRP prices.
3. Regulatory Uncertainty: Regulatory frameworks for crypto in the US and other major economies remain unsettled, which could unexpectedly impact market sentiment.
4. Strategy Recommendations: New investors should consider accumulating in tranches if the price pulls back to the $3.40–$3.45 range, and set stop-loss orders below $3.20. If XRP breaks above $3.70 on strong volume, adding to positions may be appropriate.

Summary

XRP saw a strong rebound in July 2025, breaking above $3.50 and posting successive new highs, driven by bullish technical signals, increased on-chain activity, and growing institutional accumulation. However, all investors should exercise caution. Novice investors should determine position sizes and set stop-losses based on their risk tolerance. Take advantage of pullbacks, and aim for steady progress despite volatility.